Training Models

title: Training a Model, Meaning author: Juma Shafara date: "2024-02" date-modified: "2024-07-25" description: Training a model means finding the best parameters that describe the relationship between our input data and the output we want to predict. keywords: [Understanding Linear Regression, Fitting a Model]

Photo by DATAIDEA

In this lesson you will learn what it means to train a machine learning for:

Linear Regression
Logistic Regression

For one independent variable (feature)

1. Understanding Linear Regression:

Linear regression is a statistical method used to model the relationship between a dependent variable (often denoted as \(y\)) and one or more independent variables (often denoted as \(x\)).
The relationship is modeled as a straight line equation: \(y = mx + b\), where \(m\) is the slope of the line and \(b\) is the y-intercept.

2. Fitting a Model:

When we say we're "fitting a model" in the context of linear regression, it means we're determining the best-fitting line (or plane in higher dimensions) that represents the relationship between the independent variable(s) and the dependent variable.
This process involves finding the values of \(m\) and \(b\) that minimize the difference between the actual observed values of the dependent variable and the values predicted by the model.
In simpler terms, fitting a model means finding the line that best describes the relationship between our input data and the output we want to predict.

3. Python Code Example:

Here's a simple example of how you might fit a linear regression model using Python, particularly with the scikit-learn library:

# Importing necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression

# Creating sample data
 # Independent variable (feature)
X = np.array([[1], [2], [3], [4], [5]]) 

# Dependent variable (target)
y = np.array([2, 4, 5, 4, 5])

# Creating a linear regression model
linear_regression_model = LinearRegression()

# Fitting the linear_regression_model to our data
linear_regression_model.fit(X, y)

LinearRegression()

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# Printing the slope (coefficient) and intercept of the best-fitting line
print("Slope (m):", linear_regression_model.coef_[0])
print("Intercept (b):", linear_regression_model.intercept_)

Slope (m): 0.6
Intercept (b): 2.2

# Predictions
y_predicted = linear_regression_model.predict(X)

y_predicted

array([2.8, 3.4, 4. , 4.6, 5.2])

In this code:
- X represents the independent variable (feature), which is a column vector in this case.
- y represents the dependent variable (target).
- We create a LinearRegression model object.
- We fit the model to our data using the .fit() method.
- Finally, we print out the slope (coefficient) and intercept of the best-fitting line.

Let's do some visualization

# Plotting the linear regression line
plt.scatter(X, y, color='blue', label='Data Points')
plt.plot(X, y_predicted, color='red', label='Linear Regression Line')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('Y')
plt.title('Linear Regression')
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()

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So, in summary, "fitting a model" means finding the best parameters (like slope and intercept in the case of linear regression) that describe the relationship between our input data and the output we want to predict.

For Multiple Independent Variables

If we have multiple independent variables (features) in \(X\), the process is still the same, but the equation becomes more complex. This is known as multiple linear regression.

Here's how it works:

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1. Understanding Multiple Linear Regression:

Instead of a single independent variable \(x\), we have multiple independent variables represented as a matrix \(X\).
The relationship between the dependent variable \(y\) and the independent variables \(X\) is modeled as: \(\(y = b_0 + b_1 x_1 + b_2 x_2 + \cdots + b_n x_n\)\) where \(b_0\) is the intercept, \(b_1, b_2, \ldots, b_n\) are the coefficients corresponding to each independent variable \(x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n\).

2. Fitting a Model with Many Variables:

Fitting the model involves finding the values of the coefficients \(b_0, b_1, \ldots, b_n\) that minimize the difference between the actual observed values of the dependent variable and the values predicted by the model.
The process is essentially the same as in simple linear regression, but with more coefficients to estimate.

3. Python Code Example:

Here's how you might fit a multiple linear regression model using Python:

# Creating sample data with multiple variables
# Independent variables (features)
X = np.array([[1, 2], [2, 4], [3, 6], [4, 8], [5, 10]])  

# Dependent variable (target)
y = np.array([2, 4, 5, 4, 5])

# Creating a multiple linear regression model
multiple_linear_regression_model = LinearRegression()

# Fitting the multiple_linear_regression_model to our data
multiple_linear_regression_model.fit(X, y)

LinearRegression()

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# Printing the coefficients (intercept and slopes) of the best-fitting line
print("Intercept (b0):", multiple_linear_regression_model.intercept_)
print("Coefficients (b1, b2):", multiple_linear_regression_model.coef_)

Intercept (b0): 2.200000000000001
Coefficients (b1, b2): [0.12 0.24]

In this code:
- X represents the independent variables (features), where each row is a data point and each column represents a different feature.
- y represents the dependent variable (target).
- We create a LinearRegression model object.
- We fit the model to our data using the .fit() method.
- Finally, we print out the intercept and coefficients of the best-fitting line.

So, fitting a model with many variables involves finding the best parameters (coefficients) that describe the relationship between our input data (multiple independent variables) and the output we want to predict.

What about Logistic Regression?

Logistic regression is a type of regression analysis used for predicting the probability of a binary outcome based on one or more predictor variables. Here's how the fitting process works with logistic regression:

1. Understanding Logistic Regression:

Logistic regression models the probability that a given input belongs to a particular category (binary classification problem).
Instead of fitting a straight line or plane like in linear regression, logistic regression uses the logistic function (also known as the sigmoid function) to model the relationship between the independent variables and the probability of the binary outcome.
The logistic function is defined as:

\(\(P(y=1 \,|\, X) = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-(b_0 + b_1x_1 + ... + b_nx_n)}}\)\) where \(P(y=1 \,|\, X)\) is the probability of the positive outcome given the input \(X\), \(b_0\) is the intercept, \(b_1, b_2, ..., b_n\) are the coefficients, and \(x_1, x_2, ..., x_n\) are the independent variables.

# z = b_0 + b_1x_1 + ... + b_nx_n
sigmoid = lambda z: 1 / (1 + np.exp(-z))

def sigmoid(z):
    prob = 1 / (1 + np.exp(-z))
    return prob

print('z = 1000000:', sigmoid(z=1000000))
print('z = 0.0000001:', sigmoid(z=0.0000001))

z = 1000000: 1.0
z = 0.0000001: 0.500000025

2. Fitting a Logistic Regression Model:

Fitting the logistic regression model involves finding the values of the coefficients \(b_0, b_1, ..., b_n\) that maximize the likelihood of observing the given data under the assumed logistic regression model.
This is typically done using optimization techniques such as gradient descent or other optimization algorithms.
The goal is to find the set of coefficients that best separates the two classes or minimizes the error between the predicted probabilities and the actual binary outcomes in the training data.

3. Python Code Example:

Here's how you might fit a logistic regression model using Python with the scikit-learn library:

# import the logistic regression model
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression

# Creating sample data
X = np.array([[1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8], [9]])  # Independent variable
y = np.array([0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1])             # Binary outcome (0 or 1)

# Creating a logistic regression model
logistic_regression_model = LogisticRegression()

# Fitting the model to our data
logistic_regression_model.fit(X, y)

LogisticRegression()

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# Printing the intercept and coefficient(s) of the best-fitting logistic curve
print("Intercept (b0):", logistic_regression_model.intercept_)
print("Coefficient (b1):", logistic_regression_model.coef_)

Intercept (b0): [-5.29559243]
Coefficient (b1): [[1.17808562]]

In this code:
- X represents the independent variable.
- y represents the binary outcome.
- We create a LogisticRegression model object.
- We fit the model to our data using the .fit() method.
- Finally, we print out the intercept and coefficient(s) of the best-fitting logistic curve.

# Predicted probabilities
probabilities = logistic_regression_model.predict_proba(X)

probability_of_1 = logistic_regression_model.predict_proba(X)[:, 1]

# Plotting the logistic regression curve
plt.scatter(X, y, color='blue', label='Data Points')
plt.plot(probability_of_1, color='red', label='Logistic Regression Curve')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('Probability')
plt.title('Logistic Regression')
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()

So, fitting a logistic regression model involves finding the best parameters (coefficients) that describe the relationship between our input data and the probability of the binary outcome.

from dataidea import np,pd

dataf = pd.DataFrame(
    data={
        'income': [1000, 2000, 3000],
        'age': [10, 20, 30]
    }
)

dataf

	income	age
0	1000	10
1	2000	20
2	3000	30

Congratulations!

If you reached here, you've explored the meaning of training a machine learning model of one and multiple independent variable models for Linear and Logistic Regression

Training Models

For one independent variable (feature)

1. Understanding Linear Regression:

2. Fitting a Model:

3. Python Code Example:

For Multiple Independent Variables

1. Understanding Multiple Linear Regression:

2. Fitting a Model with Many Variables:

3. Python Code Example:

What about Logistic Regression?

1. Understanding Logistic Regression:

2. Fitting a Logistic Regression Model:

3. Python Code Example:

Congratulations!

What's on your mind? Put it in the comments!